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Five Key Steps to Becoming a Superforecaster

Oct 28, 2021
Pricing: Members: Complimentary | Non-members: $100
Credits: 1.2 CTP | 1.2 FPAC | 1.2 CPE | CPE Field of Study: Finance
Are you a Superforecaster? Join Good Judgment CEO, Dr. Warren Hatch, for an interactive primer on the groundbreaking approach to probabilistic prediction that is changing the way governments, corporations, and individuals think about the future. Based on the research from the Good Judgment Project and chronicled the bestselling book, Superforecasting, you will learn steps to boost forecast accuracy, including the use of base rates, de-biasing techniques, and noise-reduction tools that improve early foresight. Attendees are encouraged to ask questions and make interactive comments throughout the discussion. The program also includes an optional "Forecasting Aptitude Survey," which measures personality characteristics that correlate with superior forecasting. 

Learning objectives
- Learn evidence-based steps to improve your forecasting accuracy 
- Learn how to distill the best possible wisdom of the crowd.
 

Speakers

  • Warren Hatch
    CEO
    Good Judgement, Inc.
  • Eric Ellis
    Vice President, Finance & Strategy
    National Restaurant Association
  • Bryan Lapidus, FPAC
    Director, FP&A Practice
    AFP
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