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Five Steps to Becoming a Superforecaster
Download the Slides
Brier Scores Resources
Wikepidia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brier_score
Good Judgment Open for how it’s used there for forecaster feedback: https://www.gjopen.com/faq
Primer by UVA: https://data.library.virginia.edu/a-brief-on-brier-scores/
Machine Learning: https://neptune.ai/blog/brier-score-and-model-calibration
Credits: CTP: 1.2 | FPAC: 1.2
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Learning objectives
- Learn evidence-based steps to improve your forecasting accuracy
- Learn how to distill the best possible wisdom of the crowd.
This recording was originally delivered live on Thursday, October 28, 2021 and is now available to you as a convenient and cost-effective way to support your learning and development while also earning CTP, CCM and/or FPAC credits.
Credits Confirmation
Take the quiz that appears at the conclusion of the recording within your recertification cycle to earn eligible credits. Once you’ve successfully completed the quiz, you will be prompted to complete a brief Credits Request Form. Following the completion of this form, an email confirmation of credits earned and directions to post your credits in the Recertification Reporting Tool will be sent to you for your records. If you attended the live version of this webinar, you cannot earn credit for the recorded as well.
Speakers
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Warren HatchCEOGood Judgement, Inc.
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Eric EllisVice President, Finance & StrategyNational Restaurant Association
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Bryan Lapidus, FPACDirector, FP&A PracticeAFP